Thursday, February 24, 2011

102 week Rolling Returns Comparison (1928 - 2011)

I haven't been posting because this melt up market has killed me financially now for almost 2 years.  Watching the red get redder on my positions leads to a very unhappy boy.  I fought the Fed and the Fed won.   Turns out this melt up has been historic.  Here are charts pointing out that the only other time it has gone up this fast, a double since '09, is in the post 1929 crash rallies of 1934 and 1937.   This also shows the subsequent sell offs, some as large as 48% just one year later.

























Here is another chart showing the "double" years.