Friday, July 16, 2010

ECRI leading indicator drops -9.8%, double dip almost assured

The ECRI Leading Economic Index just plunged at a -9.8% rate, and based on empirical evidence presented  by David Rosenberg, and also confirming all the macro economic data seen in the past two months, virtually assures that the US economy is now fully in a double dip recession scenario."It is one thing to slip to or fractionally below the zero line, but a -3.5% reading has only sent off two head-fakes in the past, while accurately foreshadowing seven recessions — with a three month lag. Keep your eye on the -10 threshold, for at that level, the economy has gone into recession … only 100% of the time (42 years of data)." We are there.


from zerohedge

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