I think the whole China situation is a bubble about to burst and here is some latest negative news for them from zero hedge
Earlier today, Bank of China, Asia’s third- largest lender by market value, announced it plans to raise as much as 60 billion yuan ($8.9 billion) in a rights offer to replenish capital. Bloomberg reports: "The lender will sell 1.1 shares for every 10 held, or as many as 19.56 billion shares in Shanghai and 8.36 billion in Hong Kong, a statement to the Hong Kong stock exchange showed today." This latest equity offering in a region already drowning in capital raises was enough to halt trading in BOC shares until July 5 as the response to it would hardly be considered favorable. A sale by Bank of China would “damage market sentiment and banking shares further because we’ve already been flooded by share offerings,” Tang Yayun, a Shanghai-based analyst at Northeast Securities Co., said before the announcement. “This is a surprise given that they just completed a bond sale.” The bolded sentence is critical as it merely implies that the rot from the trillions in bad loans made to assorted house flippers, tulip sniffers, and opium den casino dwellers are finally coming home to roost. Indeed, Bank of China's capital adequacy ratio fell to 11.09 percent as of March 31, below the minimum 11.5 percent required according to the China Banking Regulatory Commission. The next wave of the solvency crisis tsunami has now officially made landfall in China.
Friday, July 2, 2010
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This was a big fat loser. What I am working on is a good long term filter, looking at weekly charts and using some indicator that that gives yes, no or maybe. what I am using now is TRIX, MACD, IFT, DMIdiff, TSF, and Linear regression curves. Most said that this trade should not have been taken. This is my biggest remaining issue with debugging my system. The other big issue is to see how much over optimization will affect present and future trades. I worry, I may have optimized too much. I am hoping that there is gradual change in the settings, so the variables change over time but dont cause huge negative results.
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